the odds room

What's in the box

Pack anatomy, rarity ladders, approximate pull rates, and the rare occurrences — god packs, case hits, serialized cards — across every game we track. Most publishers publish no official odds, so every figure here is labelled with what it rests on. This page exists so you know what a box is before you buy one — not to talk you into buying it.

Snapshot as of 2026-07-23 · rates drift set to set — treat this as a dated photograph, not a promise

Who tells you the odds

The single most useful fact in this room: two publishers publish thorough official odds, three publish partial or one-off figures — and the three publishers behind eight of our thirteen games publish nothing at all. Where no official odds exist, every number anyone quotes is a community estimate — including ours.

Wizards of the Coastpublishes oddsMagic: The Gathering
Full slot-by-slot collation percentages in an official 'Collecting [Set]' article for every set — exact figures like '1.5% of Play Boosters' for Special Guests. source →
Legend Story Studiospublishes oddsFlesh and Blood
The industry's most complete discloser: per-set Collector's Centre pages with official pull ratios ('Legendary 1:94 packs', 'Fabled 1:960') and even print-run counts for early sets — with an explicit approximation disclaimer. source →
Fantasy Flight Games / AsmodeepartialStar Wars Unlimited
Official odds charts published at launch with the best variance disclaimer in the industry ('these odds assume perfect distribution, and the actual odds may vary slightly'); coverage of later sets is thinner. source →
BushiroadpartialCardfight!! Vanguard
Prints a guarantee on current EN products ('2 cards in every pack will definitely be R or above') and has occasionally published rates, but publishes no parallel-rarity odds systematically.
Bandaipublishes nothingOne Piece · Dragon Ball Fusion World · Digimon · Union Arena · Gundam · Battle Spirits
Publishes set composition (how many card types per rarity) and the phrase 'cards are randomly inserted' — no probability was found on any official page checked, in any region, for any of its six games, and every community source corroborates the absence. Every Bandai rate below is community-derived.
The Pokémon Companypublishes nothingPokémon TCG
No odds for physical packs in any language — only deterministic guarantees ('a Pokémon ex in every pack' on some JP products). Its DIGITAL game (TCG Pocket) publishes exact offering rates, because app-store rules force it; nothing forces physical disclosure.
KonamipartialYu-Gi-Oh!
Lists rarity counts per set ('10 Secret Rares, 14 Ultra Rares') on official pages rather than probabilities, in both TCG and OCG — with rare one-off exceptions, like an official '1 in 4 packs' figure for a Rarity Collection product. No systematic disclosure.
Ravensburgerpublishes nothingDisney Lorcana
Publishes no per-rarity probability chart; all Enchanted/Epic/Iconic rates are community-measured.

The games

How this room is made: Researched 2026-07-23 by a seven-agent fleet over official product pages, publisher disclosure articles, and community box-break data, with an adversarial verifier spot-checking 26 load-bearing claims (24 confirmed, corrections applied). Most publishers do not publish odds: every rate below names its basis and a confidence level, and where sources disagree we show the disagreement instead of averaging it away. Rates drift set to set and print wave to print wave — treat everything here as a dated photograph, not a promise.

Key sources: magic.wizards.com · fabtcg.com · starwarsunlimited.com · en.onepiece-cardgame.com · www.pokemon-card.com · premium.gamepedia.jp · tcgtalk.com · www.tcgplayer.com · pokebeach.com · cardgamer.com

Machine-readable twin: /api/v1/pulls